Key takeaways
- Every dollar figure carries either a source and year, or an explicit statement that it is invented to show arithmetic. What we will not do is print a figure that looks sourced and is not.
- We state a source's vintage — several popular insurance datasets are much older than the articles citing them imply.
- We do not republish NAIC's tables. They are copyright; we cite figures in prose instead.
- We do not build fifty-state tables from inference. Verified states are named; the rest are called unverified.
The sources, and what is wrong with some of them
Every dataset has limits. Most articles citing them do not mention those limits. We think the limits are part of the fact.
| Source | What we use it for | Vintage and caveat |
|---|---|---|
| Federal and state statutes | What the law actually requires | Cited to the section, as amended, with the date we reviewed it |
| State insurance department bulletins | Regulator guidance and notice requirements | Cited to the department with the issue date |
| NAIC market data | Non-renewal rates, premiums, market structure | Cited in prose only — NAIC tables are copyright. The 2026 report excludes surplus-lines carriers and omits New York entirely |
| US Treasury, Federal Insurance Office | National premium and non-renewal benchmarks | The January 2025 report covers 2018–2022. Public domain and freely reusable |
| FEMA National Risk Index | County-level hazard exposure | Data version 1.20, December 2025, superseding v1.19.0 of March 2023. We state the version and its date wherever we use it |
| FEMA / NFIP records | Flood policies, claims and take-up rates | Refreshed roughly monthly. Public domain |
| NOAA / NCEI Storm Events | Hail, wind and tornado history by county | Monthly, with roughly a 90-day lag. We use 1996 onward only |
| US Census ACS | Housing stock, values, ownership | Annual. We state the vintage |
| NOAA Billion-Dollar Disasters | We do not use it | Retired with no updates beyond 2024. Still widely quoted as current. It is not |
| Named industry research | Market trends where no public equivalent exists | Cited with the firm, the date, and what the sample actually was |
Assumptions behind any figure
A premium figure means nothing without the policy it describes. Where we publish one, these are the assumptions unless the page says otherwise.
| Assumption | Value |
|---|---|
| Dwelling coverage | $300,000 |
| Personal property | $150,000 — 50% of the dwelling limit, the relationship North Carolina and Wisconsin both describe as standard |
| Personal liability | $300,000 |
| Deductible | $1,000 |
We also distinguish two kinds of average premium that are routinely confused and differ by roughly a factor of two: figures based on premium actually earned across all in-force policies, and figures based on quotes gathered at a fixed coverage level. Both are valid. Mixing them produces nonsense. We label which one we are using.
How we treat uncertainty
Three rules, applied consistently.
If we verified it, we cite it. To the statute, the bulletin, the dataset — with a date.
If we verified some of it, we say which. Several state-level insurance rules are genuinely not published in comparable form anywhere. Where we checked five states and not fifty, we publish five and say so.
If we could not verify it, we do not publish it as fact. Either it is omitted, or it appears with the uncertainty attached. We would rather a page be less complete than quietly wrong.
If a figure on this site is wrong, our corrections policy explains what we do about it.
Methodology and sources
This page describes our own standards. Individual pages carry their own methodology notes for figures specific to them.
Frequently asked questions
Why do you not publish a table for all fifty states?
Because for several topics — roof-age underwriting thresholds, non-renewal notice periods, public adjuster fee caps — no authoritative, comparable fifty-state source exists. A complete-looking table would be inference presented as fact. We publish what we verified and name the rest as unverified.
Can I reuse your figures?
The underlying federal data is public domain and yours to use. Where we have derived something ourselves we say so on the page, and we would appreciate a link. Figures we cite from copyright sources such as the NAIC should be taken from the original.
How current is the data on this site?
It depends on the source, which is why the vintage is stated. FEMA flood records refresh roughly monthly; the National Risk Index is at data version 1.20, published December 2025; census housing data is annual. Where a source is stale, the page says so — and where we have gotten a vintage wrong, we say that too.